The 2016 One-Star Roster
As the All-Star Game comes closer and the teams are on the beginning of the All-Star Break, it is a perfect time to do what is my favorite post that I do every year: the One-Star Roster.
It isn’t what you think it is. Every year, right before the All-Star Game, I make my own All-Star roster, but I use different rules. Each roster has 15 players and each team has one representative. So not only am I looking for the best player from each team, but also for the best player from each position. There is the regular starting eight, three SP, two RP, and two bench players, except in the AL where they have one bench player and one DH. Then, I make the rosters and simulate the games on MLB The Show in a best-of-three series. Amount of times a player has been on the roster goes back to the 2012 season, my earliest electronic copy. I stated this tradition in 2009 with a good friend but I’ve lost my hard copies from 08-11… Oops!
Qualifications: 200 ABs and 450 innings played at the position or 100/30 IP (SP/RP). The player must not be on the DL at the time of which I write this, not traded before I wrote this, and not suspended for a drug-related incident in the past season.
Starting with the AL:
C: Salvador Perez, Royals (1st appearance): This was not a very hard position to fill as there were not many players who qualified for the AL. Perez leads the AL catchers in SLUG %, tied with the Yankees Brian McCann with 14 HRs, and posts a 3 WAR, higher than the second place catcher (A’s and last year’s catcher Stephen Vogt) by 1.6 WAR.
1B: Miguel Cabrera, Tigers (3rd appearance): Has not been on the list since 2013 and his numbers this year really reflect his recall to the position. Second in the AL in AVG for first basemen, tied second in HRs, his WAR is 2.3 which is good for second as well. There are plenty of very good 1st basemen this season for the AL, but the K/BB ratio for Cabrera of .63 is outstanding.
2B: Jose Altuve, Astros (2nd appearance): Making his return after missing the roster last year, Altuve is putting up numbers that only the Mariners Robinson Cano can rival him. Altuve leads all AL 2nd basemen in hits, AVG, doubles, OBP, WAR, walks, runs scored, and stolen bases. He also has a .991 FLD %, which is second only to Cano.
3B: Josh Donaldson, Blue Jays (2nd appearance): Back-to-back years for Donaldson and deservedly so. He is first among AL 3rd basemen in WAR, hits, runs scored, triples, walks, and RBIs. He is second in DWAR, HRs, AVG, and stolen bases. His move to Toronto was a career changer.
SS: Xander Bogarts, Red Sox (2nd appearance): Back-to-back for Bogarts as well as he leads his AL position in AVG, hits, runs, RBIs, and walks. His biggest competition in the Orioles Manny Machado does not qualify defensively and the Indians Francisco Lindor is slightly edged out offensively.
LF: Melky Cabrera, White Sox (1st appearance): Second to the Blue Jays Michael Saunders but TOR already has their rep. Cabrera is not a bad fill in, however, as he is having a great bounce-back year from last year with a .297 AVG, 90 hits, 18 doubles, 41 RBIs, and the lowest amount of strikeouts at 34 (Mariners Nori Aoki is currently in AAA and thus does not qualify.)
CF: Mike Trout, Angels (5th appearance): Making records with the most appearances of all players on my One-Star Roster and most consecutive appearances. And why not? He leads all CF in AVG, runs, HRs, RBIs, BB, and WAR.
RF: Nomar Mazara, Rangers (1st appearance): A rare rookie to make the list, but he’s earned it for the position, but he has also been helped some by players who do not qualify (Orioles Mark Trumbo) or by having the team rep already in the list. Still, Mazara is not too shabby since coming to the majors with .282 AVG, 11 HRs, and 36 runs scored and RBIs.
DH: Nelson Cruz, Mariners (1st appearance): Making the roster for the first time after barely missing it the last two years but his HR total is greater than David Ortiz, he is 2nd in the AL DH with a 2.7 WAR, and is second in run scored.
SP: Danny Salazar, Indians (1st appearance): Highest WAR of all qualified SP for the AL with a fantastic 1.18 WHIP and 2.75 ERA on the season. He also as 118 Ks to 46 BB (2.6 K/BB ratio) and even has the win-loss record to back up his numbers at 10-3.
SP: Masahiro Tanaka, Yankees (1st appearance): A 2.8 WAR, 1.11 WHIP, and a 3.23 ERA all look very nice-and-neat for the Yankees staff ace.
SP: Chris Tillman, Orioles (1st appearance): One of the bright spots on BAL’s 2nd worst AL pitching rotation. Tillman does have a 32 WAR and a 3.41 ERA in 113.1 IP, though.
RP: Ryan Presley, Twins (1st appearance): Twins needed a rep and Presley has not been too bad. 44/16 K/BB ratio. (Yes, I know, it is a reach but every team needs a rep…)
RP: Ryan Dull, Athletics (1st appearance): One of the better RPs in the AL this season. 0.72 WHIP, 2.01 ERA, 47/8 K/BB ratio, and has a save so he is not unfamiliar with the closer role.
Bench: Evan Longoria, Rays (2nd appearance): Not a bad bat to have off the bench. 47 runs scored, 19 HRs, .289 AVG and 24 doubles. Pretty useful.
Now for the NL:
C: Jonathan Lucroy, Brewers (2nd appearance): Missed last year due to injury but back with the 2nd highest WAR among NL catchers, as well as 2nd in hits, RBIs, OBP, and SLUG.
1B: Paul Goldschmidt, Diamondbacks (4th appearance): Cubs Anthony Rizzo might be a tick better offensively this year, but Goldschmidt is the D-Backs best player, year in and year out. 3.1 WAR, .297 AVG, 15 HRs, 58 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases. This guy does it all.
2B: Daniel Murphy, Nationals (2nd appearance): Leads the NL position with 117 hits, .348 AVG (league leading), 25 doubles, 17 HRs, 66 RBIs, and a 3.0 WAR.
3B: Nolan Arenado, Rockies (1st appearance): Leads the NL in RBIs with 70, has 24 doubles, 23 HRs, and is the best in the NL defensively at 3rd with only 1 error and a 1.7 DWAR.
SS: Corey Seager, Dodgers (1st appearance): 2nd at the SS position in the senior circuit with a 3.2 WAR while having an all-around balance offensive game with a .297 AVG, 17 HRs, 22 doubles, 42 RBIs, and a position leading 105 hits.
LF: Starling Marte, Pirates (2nd appearance): Back-to-back years for Marte as he continues to be one of the best LF in the game. His WAR is tops at 3.1, is 2nd in the majors with 30 stolen bases, has four triples, 19 doubles, and six HRs, while still having excellent defense (.5 DWAR, 9 assists).
CF: Odubel Herrera, Phillies (1st appearance): 97 hits, 49 runs, and 10 HRs has made Herrera a spark-plug for the Phillies offense. Leads all NL CF with 8 assists, as well.
RF: Stephen Piscotty, Cardinals (1st appearance): NL position leading 2.7 WAR on the season backed up by his .295 AVG, 11 HRs, 22 doubles, 48 RBIs, and 53 runs scored.
SP: Madison Bumgarner, Giants (1st appearance): Top NL pitcher currently active (Remember, Clayton Kershaw is on the DL right now) with a 1.94 ER, 0.96 WHIP, and a 146/32 K/BB ratio.
SP: Jose Fernandez, Marlins (1st appearance): Fully healthy season for Fernandez has allowed him to spin a 1.02 WHIP, 2.52 ERA, in 107.1 IP type of ball so far. He is also second to Max Scherzer in strikeouts with 154.
SP: Drew Pomeranz, Padres (1st appearance): Pomeranz is putting up numbers that many never expected him to: 1.06 WHP, 2.07 ERA, 115 Ks, and has allowed only 67 hits, the least in the NL.
RP: Jeurys Familia, Mets (1st appearance): Leads the majors with 31 saves and has done so while keeping his base runners low (1.20 WHIP). 41 Ks in 42 IP is not too shabby, either.
RP: Hector Rondon, Cubs (1st appearance): A 0.67 WHIP is second best in the NL and he has struck out 42 batters in 31 innings. He is an unsung hero to the Cubs success this year.
Bench: Adam Duvall, Reds (1st appearance) Does not have much average to his name, but Duvall is a heavy hitter. 23 HRs and 20 doubles so far on the season makes him a big power threat off the bench.
Bench: Freddie Freeman, Braves (1st appearance): Still Atlanta’s best offensive player and he has not disappointed. 16 HRs, 21 doubles, a .286 AVG, and a 2.6 WAR on the season. I can only imagine he would have even larger numbers if the offense around him were stronger.
Lineups:
AL: NL:
Bogarts Herrera
Altuve Marte
Trout Goldschmidt
Cruz Arenado
Donaldson Murphy
Cabrera Seager
Perez Piscotty
Mazara Lucroy
Cabrera Pitcher
*Note: I allow the AL to use the DH even in NL stadiums, having the pitcher still be in the DH slot for the NL. Games simulated on MLB 16 The Show
Game One: NL defeats the AL 4-2
Notes: Solo HRs by Trout and Donaldson. Goldschmidt with a 2 run HR and Seager with a 2 RBI double, Marte with 2 SBs and 2 runs. Bumgarner with 8 IP, Rendon with the save. Salazar with 7 IP, Presley with the loss.
Game Two: NL defeats the AL 5-1
Notes: Tanaka with 7 shutout innings, Presley allowed all 5 runs including an Arenado grand slam. Marte had an RBI BB. Fernandez allowed 1 run off 2 hits in 8 innings, HR by Cruz was the lone run.
Game 3: NL defeats AL 11-2
Notes: Tillman lasts 4.2 IP, giving up 8 runs. Presley allowed the last 3 in 1.1 IP. Pomeranz allowed both runs in the 8th inning, before being relieved by Familia. All NL batters had a hit and a run scored.
Series MVP: Marte: 7-12, 4 SB, 3 doubles, 5 runs scored, 4 RBIs.
Series LVP: Bogarts: 1-12
MLB 16 Preview: AL East
Baseball season is upon us! In just a handful of days, first pitch will be coming across home plate to the sound of many screaming fans and to the delight of many, including myself. Half the fun of the season, however, is looking at the off-season and trying to predict what will happen with each team. As we are closing in on the start of baseball season, I want to start giving my projections, starting with the AL East. The way my predictions go: I give a little blurb about each team in alphabetical order, then my predictions for the 2016 season, and then a quick reason why. If you disagree and/or wish to discuss my rankings, comment below!
Baltimore Orioles: The O’s spent a lot this off-season, dropping a total of 243.06 million down on free agents in hopes of adding on to last year’s slightly disappointing end with an even 81-81 record. The only question about the O’s is if they did enough to make the team any better. Yovani Gallardo came in to the pitching staff, but Wei Yin Chen is gone. The team added a lot of power bats, but now have a log jam at 1st and DH; it is so deep that the team is sacrificing defensive abilities in the corner outfield to accommodate these players.
Boston Red Sox: The Red Sox went very top-heavy this off-season by signing David Price and trading for Carson Smith and Craig Kimbrel to try to make a lock-down bullpen from innings 6 to 9. Which was not a bad idea, given that the pitching behind Price is either injury prone (Clay Buchholz) or was underwhelming last year (Rick Porcello and Joe Kelly), so shortening the game in that instant is not a bad idea. Smith, however, is injured and there is no timetable on his return. Also, an offense that only had three players with over 400 ABs bat above a .275 clip was not addressed too much, albeit a healthy season from Dustin Pedroia and full seasons from Jackie Bradly Jr., Rusney Castillo, and Travis Shaw could really help that issue.
New York Yankees: The Yankees were very un-Yankee like in that they did not sign any big time free agents. Instead, NY went for some big bullpen help in adding Aroldis Chapman, while adding some team depth by acquiring Aaron Hicks and Starlin Castro, all via the trade. The questionable Yankees move was trading LHP Justin Wilson to the Tigers for two pitching prospects. It is good to have minor league depth, but Wilson had a 66-20 K/BB ratio with his second lowest career WHIP at 1.13. Keeping Wilson to go with the Chapman and the closer from last season, Andrew Miller, and other top relief option Dellin Betances would have given the Yankees the best bullpen, on paper, in the AL East, if not the entire AL or even the MLB. And the pitching rotation for the Yankees does not instill much confidence; of the five pitchers who had over 100 IP last season, only two were below a 4.00 and only one was below a 3.50 ERA.
Tampa Bay Rays: Always an interesting team to watch this off-season, the Rays wanted to add offense to what was a very weak aspect of the team last season (.252 team AVG last season). So the Rays dealt from their usual pitching surplus to add Logan Morrison, Brad Miller, and Corey Dickerson while also signing Steve Pearce. Just like the O’s, however, there is now a log-jam at 1B/DH and even the corner outfield slots. It does, however, give a lot of depth to the Rays roster that could lead to an early spring trade if the Rays do not get out to the start they would like. The bullpen, however, took a blow by trading Jake McGee and then watch Brad Boxberger get hit with an injury.
Toronto Blue Jays: The offense is very similar to what it was when the team climbed to the ALCS, but watch for the Jays to try to make a trade to help the OF slots as having Michael Saunders start a majority of games is not a favorable outlook as he has failed to play over 100 games since 2013, and has never played more than 139 games in a season. Even when he stays healthy, it just does not seem to be there; 2012 is his best full season when he hit .247 with 19 HRs. The rotation is going to miss David Price, but the Jays have added to it with having J. A. Happ come in via free agency and putting Aaron Sanchez in the fifth slot.
Predictions:
Blue Jays: 93-69
Rays: 89-73
Red Sox: 86-76
Yankees: 80-82
Orioles: 70-92
The Blue Jays offense is going to have a lot of points and will benefit from having a full season of Troy Tulowitzki, something the defense will benefit from as well. And we saw the Jays make deadline moves to push and that what this team will do this year, push hard to try to win with the amount of big name players entering the last year of their contracts. The Rays starting rotation is still strong, but the bullpen is risky and the offense is questionable. The Rays could win 99 games, could lose 99 games, but I think they will make a push for a return to the post season.
The Red Sox and Yankees both did not do too much to really add to the team. Both teams have huge questions with the starting rotation, the Yankees offense is aging and injury prone and the depth might not be there, while the Red Sox are hoping for a lot of health and rebounds, which can be disastrous. The Orioles are last to me as the team has very little pitching, very little depth, and a line-up that is very heavy on “Strikeout-or-HR” and that approach rarely works (yes, yes I know the Astros made the playoffs like that last year, but they also had a CY Young winner last year, which is something the O’s are missing).
Playing Armchair GM: Looking at Relief Pitchers who fit with the Pirates
It now appears that Pirates first baseman Pedro Alvarez has been taken off of the trade block and the Pirates momentary search for a new first baseman has ended, it’s time to look at the trade deadline from a different angle. The Pirates offense, when all is said and done, is fine. Gregory Polanco is getting hot as… well late July usually does here in southwest PA. Aramis Ramirez holds down the hot-corner until Josh Harrison and Jordy Mercer return to bolster the line-up which will, in turn, bolster the bench. Getting two regular players back at full health, and fully rested, in the middle of August is the same, if not better, than making a deadline for a new offensive bat. Not saying that first base, and the infield as a whole, isn’t something the Pirates shouldn’t address in the future, as in the off-season, but it isn’t something that needs to be addressed right here, right now. No, the Pirates needs lie in pitching.
Relief pitching should be the Pirates number one target right now. The bullpen is flexible in that there is an ability to move players. First, injured Rob Scahill (26 IP, 27 hits, 12 walks, 22 Ks, 12 runs allowed, six earned and two home runs) can be optioned to AAA upon return from his rehab and rookie Deolis Guerra (14.1 IP, 15 hits, two walks, 13 Ks, five earned runs allowed, three home runs) can also be optioned back if needed. Two other members of the bullpen, Vance Worley (69 IP (eight starts) 75 hits, 19 walks, 47 Ks, 33 runs allowed, 29 earned and six home runs) and Arquimedes Caminero (44.1 IP, 41 hits, 17 walks, 47 Ks, 23 runs allowed, 22 earned and six home runs) don’t have any options left but still have three and five years of team control left, respectively. Neither is pitching particularly amazingly and could have a high chance of passing through waivers if DFA’d. Also, the team control factors could make them minor throw-in pieces to a trade. Finally, Antonia Bastardo (30 IP, 28 hits, 13 walks, 28 Ks, 13 earned runs and four home runs) was a poor replacement of LHP Justin Wilson (sent to the Yankees for Francisco Cervelli) and is a free agent after this season. So if he were to be removed from the active roster, it wouldn’t be the worst of choices.
So, with that flexibility, the Pirates can go and obtain another reliever without really losing anything, especially if Pittsburgh capitalizes on the two players with options remaining. The Pirates don’t need just any reliever, though, they need an arm that is reliable in a high leverage situation to help take some pressure off of Jared Hughes, Tony Watson, and Mark Melancon (combined 142 appearances and 134.2 innings pitched but only 27 earned runs for a group ERA of 1.87) as the Pirates go down the stretch. Ideally, the Pirates would also like to get someone with control to avoid what the Orioles went through last trade deadline; acquiring a big name reliever in Andrew Miller, give up a top prospect, not be able to go far with him in the postseason, and watch him leave via free agency. With all that said, I’ve narrowed it to four names for the Pirates, in descending order of ideal want: Will Smith of the Brewers, Jake McGee of the Rays, Joaquin Benoit of the Padres, and Joakim Soria of the Tigers.
Will Smith: Came over to the Brewers from the Royals in the 2013-14 off-season as a trade and is a lefty. He’s making 512.5 thousand dollars this season and has three years of arbitration yet to come. He fits the Pirates need and mold perfectly and Pittsburgh has already traded with the Brewers so they have an idea of who Milwaukee likes. It cost Milwaukee Nori Aoki to acquire him at the time so that’s a base-level estimate of what it may cost to get Smith. Along with his youth, cost control and excellent numbers this season (36 IP, 26 hits, 14 walks, 50 Ks, 10 runs, seven earned, and one home run) it might cost the Pirates a top-20 prospect.
If so, deal from a position of strength, the outfield. The major league outfield is set till at least 2019 (McCutchen will be a free agent com 2019) and the Pirates have plenty of players who can play the outfield in the system. In AAA the Pirates have Keon Broxton and Willy Garcia to dangle, Stetson Allie, Barrett Barnes, Josh Bell and Mel Rojas Jr. in AA, and Austin Medows and Harold Ramirez in high-A ball. Of that list, five of them are on the Pirates pre-season top-20 prospect list. Someone such as Ramirez might be enough to get the deal done by himself or a package of Garcia and a lower-tier pitcher.
Jake McGee: He’s also a lefty but only has one more year of team control left as he enters his third, and final, year in arbitration after this season. His numbers are just as good as Smith’s (23.2 IP 14 hits, three walks, 32 Ks, four runs, three earned, one home run) but he missed a little time due to injury this season as he started the season on the DL due to elbow surgery. However, he’s come back and is striking out almost double the amount of base runners he allows. Tampa Bay is 7.5 games back of the Yankees, 4 for the Wild Card, and may not decide to sell but if they do, they don’t mind taking on high level or lower level prospects. Again, a one-for-one of Ramirez might get the job done in this case or Tampa might take a package of lower-tier but high-ceiling prospects.
Joaquin Benoit: He’s a right hander and making a little more money than the other two options, but he comes with an extra aspect of control: an 8 million dollar option for next season with a 1.5M buyout. He’s making 8M this season, about half of that left at this point in the season, so he’s not a terribly expensive addition but he also isn’t as young as the other two pitchers as he just turned 38 yesterday. He’s spent most of his career as a set-up man so he’s not stranger to the 7th or 8th inning role. Any deal with the Padres would more than likely include a little bit of cash coming from San Diego (say, 1.5M this season and 1.5 next to either cover the buyout or the early part of his contract) and might be a little cheaper than the other two even with his stats (43.2 IP, 21 hits, 16 walks, 39 Ks, 11 earned runs, five home runs) due to his age and extra money. Combination of Allie and Barnes would be an interesting deal to make here.
Joakim Soria: He’s last on the list because he’s a free agent after this season, he’s been a closer this season and in the past, Detroit still doesn’t know if they’re sellers or buyers, and his numbers aren’t as good as the others (40 IP, 32 hits, 11 walks, 34 Ks, 13 earned runs, 8 home runs). He might be the cheapest option in terms of prospects here, but it’s hard to trade for a current closer and ask him to not fill that role. Sure, he’s been a set-up man in the past with Texas and Detroit but he’s been a closer for seven of his nine seasons. I wouldn’t trade any top prospects for him, but dangle a few others at Detroit like Broxton or Rojas Jr.
The Tale of Three Cities: A Look at the Minnesota Twins’ Playoff Chances
Three teams have risen above my expectations and have put themselves in the midst of a playoff hunt for the second half of the MLB season. The Astros, the Twins, and the Mets are all winning games that I didn’t think that they would. I did believe during the pre-season that the Astros and the Mets were trending upwards right now with their minor league talent and the strong teams that are being built. The Twins, however, I had less hope for. I mentioned in my “Mid-Season Review” piece that, of all those teams, the Twins would be the only one to make the playoffs. Here is a deeper look into the teams and why I believe the team will go where it does. Finally, the Minnesota Twins.
I really didn’t think much of the Twins coming into the season. I thought that the rotation was poor and even poorer when the team lost Ervin Santana to a PED suspension. That being said, I still have them grabbing hold of the last Wild Card spot in the AL. Here’s why:
The Twins are an average team on getting on base (15th in the league in AVG, 21st in OBP) but, once the guys get on base, they seem to have a knack for hitting them in (9th in runs and 10th in RBIs) due to the large number of extra base hits; 256 is 9th in the majors. The offense is average which isn’t amazing, but it’s a better than the missing offense of the Mets and the hot-and-cold offense of the Astros. Another aspect that really helps the Twins this season is the young blood that the Twins are bring up from the minors. Most notably is Sano who is tearing it up in his first 11 games played. Small sample size and the league still has time to adjust to him, but if he keeps hitting at a .300 clip, that’s a huge assist for the Twins. Also waiting in the wings is top prospect Byron Buxton. He struggled in his first taste of major league action before he was injured, but if he’s able to come back and add more juice to the Twins line up, it’ll really boost the Twins playoff chances.
The Astros and Mets don’t have much in the way of offensive reinforcements from the minors the way the Twins have. Astros tried a few call ups but Carlos Correa is the only one who has really put in much of an impact. Twins also have the same amount of players hitting over .250 (min 100 ABs) at eight, with four regulars, as the Mets and Astros have combined (and only four regulars combined as well). Twins have good power in the lineup with three guys having more than 10 home runs from the first half of the season and four guys having more than 35 runs scored as well as a RBI total of over 40. The Twins are a quietly good offensive team. Not great, but good.
The pitching is average as well. 15th in the league in ERA and a pitching staff that doesn’t strike out a ton of batters (537 Ks is last in the majors) but also doesn’t walk many men, either (215 walks, third least in the majors). The rotation just welcomed Santana after his suspension ended but it hasn’t been a very pretty first two starts (12 IP, 8 ER). Tommy Milone (2.84 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) and Kyle Gibson (2.85 ERA, 1.21 WHIP) are the rotation leaders right now, but the Twins do need reinforcements from the deadline deals to add to the rotation and the bullpen. Luckily, the offense is doing just enough right now to keep the Twins afloat in the first Wild Card slot and the deadline is filled with more pitchers than hitters.
The Twins can target an ace to lead the staff (Cueto, Kazmir, maybe Samardzija) or go smaller and look at Haren, Latos, Gallardo (if the Rangers decide to sell) and look at Papelbon, Francisco Rodriguez, A. J. Ramos, Addison Russell, or others to address the bullpen. What I’m getting at is that the Twins have more options when looking to add pitching than the Mets or Astros have of getting the needed offense at the deadline.
The Twins open the second half with the Athletics, Angels, and Yankees. Not quite the easy schedule, but not a very difficult way to open the second half of the season. As with the Astros and the Mets, a bad start out of the gate can really change everything. I see the Twins as a more complete team than the Mets and Astros, however. The offense and pitching is a little more balanced and the players that fit the Twins needs are more plentiful than those that fit the Astros or Mets.
If you read my Mid-Season Review post, you’ll know that I have the Twins getting the second Wild Card slot but losing to the Blue Jays. If you’ve not read my Mid-Season Review post, check it out to see my full post-season predictions (https://citb10.wordpress.com/2015/07/14/2015-mid-season-review/).
2015 Mid-Season Review
Well, the Mets are winning the games that I thought the Marlins would, the Astros are winning the games I thought the Mariners would, and the Twins/Royals are winning the games that I thought the White Sox would. Realizing that three of my playoff teams, and one of my World Series teams, are more than likely out of the running, I’ve come forward with some changes to my pre-season picks.
Preseason playoff teams:
NL East: Nationals AL East: Orioles
NL Central: Pirates AL Central: White Sox
NL West: Dodgers AL West: Mariners
Wildcard: Marlins and Cardinals Wildcard: Blue Jays and Tigers
Mid season playoff teams:
NL East: Nationals AL East: Rays
NL Central: Pirates AL Central: Royals
NL West: Dodgers AL West: Angels
Wildcard: Cardinals and Cubs Wildcard: Blue Jays and Twins
My NL stays primarily the same. I still believe the Pirates will over-take the Cardinals for the division lead and might end up with the best record in the NL, if not the majors. Just replacing the Cubs for the Marlins as Miami has been a major disappointment and Chicago is good enough to push for the Wild Card slot. Especially since their competition is the surprising, and offensively anemic, Mets and the injury prone, hot-and-cold Giants.
AL, however, is different. It seems that when I put my faith in the Rays, they disappoint me. When I take it away, they manage to surprise me. However, they have the best pitching in the AL East and pitching wins games. I didn’t have faith in the Royals; I thought their pitching was rough and Morales has been a huge surprise. They also have the depth to deal with the loss of Alex Gordon. I don’t think the Astros can continue their torrid pace; currently on an eight game losing streak and this team is basically “home run or bust” from top to bottom. The Wild Card gets exciting but the Blue Jays have the offense, they just need the pitching. And I’m sure they’ll go after a top target (Cueto, Kazmir, etc…) and the Twins have a large enough lead and have been consistent enough to instill enough confidence that they’ll hold on to the slot.
DS: Pirates over Cubs, Nationals over Dodgers
Royals over Blue Jays, Rays over Angels
CS: Pirates over Nationals
Royals over Rays
WS: Pirates over Royals in six.
I’m still driving the Pirates World Series champion’s bandwagon. It’ll be tough to get past the Nationals, but if the Pirates over-take the Cardinals, they’ll be able to over-take anyone. The Royals have a little easier road to the World Series as, in my opinion, the AL isn’t as strong as it was last year or as strong as the NL.
Pre-Season Award winners:
NL MVP: Adrew McCutchen NL CY Young: Johnny Cueto
AL MVP: Josh Donaldson AL CY Young: Chris Sale
NL and AL ROY not selected.
Mid-Season Award winners:
NL MVP: Bryce Harper NL CY Young: Gerrit Cole
AL MVP: Josh Donaldson AL CY Young: Chris Sale
My NL predictions weren’t bad, just a few player have risen up. Harper is the mid-season favorite to me and I’ll ride that hot card. Pitching wise, there are a lot of good choices for both the AL and the NL. But Cole, should he continue what he’s doing now, will set some career highs, possible franchise records, and is succeeding past what even I thought he would this preseason.
My AL predictions are staying the same. Sale is a huge bright spot on a struggling White Sox team. And while they won’t be playoff bound, his numbers are bright enough to take the attention. As for Donaldson, he’s currently in the top five of the following AL categories: WAR, hits, runs, HRs, RBIs, XBH, D-WAR, and is top 10 in doubles. Oh, and he’s been healthy all season long.
Rookie of the Year: I told you to ask me mid-season and here are my picks:
AL: Billy Burns, Athletics NL: Kris Bryant, Cubs
Burns has been a catalyst for the Athletics. He hits well for extra bases (10 doubles, five triples, two HRs) and has great speed (17 stolen bases, caught only three times) has 38 runs, and has 82 hits. He leads all AL rookies in those categories sans XBH, where he’s third.
Bryant had some drama to start his ML career, but with the numbers he’s putting up, why wouldn’t any team want to ensure an extra season of control? He leads NL rookies in runs and RBIs and is second in XBH, HRs, WAR, and third in doubles and total hits. Only problem is that he strikes out A LOT (101 Ks in 286 ABs).
Pre-Season overall divisions: * denotes best record in conference, ** best record in baseball, # worst in the conference, ## worst in baseball
NL: East: Central: West:
Nationals Pirates Dodgers (**)
Marlins Cardinals Padres
Mets Cubs Giants
Braves Reds Rockies
Phillies (##) Brewers Diamondbacks
AL East: Central: West:
Orioles White Sox Mariners (*)
Blue Jays Tigers Angels
Yankees Indians Athletics
Red Sox Royals Astros
Rays Twins (#) Rangers
Mid-Season overall divisions: * denotes best record in conference, ** best record in baseball, # worst in the conference, ## worst in baseball
NL: East: Central: West:
Nationals Pirates (**) Dodgers
Mets Cardinals Giants
Braves Cubs Diamondbacks
Marlins Reds Rockies
Phillies (##) Brewers Padres
AL East: Central: West:
Rays Royals (*) Angels
Blue Jays Twins Astros
Yankees Indians Rangers
Orioles Tigers Athletics
Red Sox White Sox (#) Mariners
The 2015 One-Star Roster
Photo Credit: MLB.com
As the All-Star Game comes closer and the teams are on the beginning of the All-Star Break, it is a perfect time to do what is my favorite post that I do every year: the One-Star Roster.
It isn’t what you think it is. Every year, right before the All-Star Game, I make my own All-Star roster, but I use different rules. Each roster has 15 players and each team has one representative. So not only am I looking for the best player from each team, but also for the best player from each position. There is the regular starting eight, three SP, two RP, and two bench players, except in the AL where they have one bench player and one DH. Then, I make the rosters and simulate the games on MLB The Show in a best-of-three series.
Qualifications: 200 ABs and 450 innings played at the position or 100/30 IP (SP/RP). Must not be on the DL at the time of which I write this, not traded before I wrote this, and not suspended for a drug-related incident in the past season.
Starting with the AL:
C: Stephen Vogt, Athletics: Tricky position because not many qualify based off of my stipulations, but Vogt makes the cut. Offensively, he leads all qualified AL catchers in AVG, RBI, OBP, SLG %, BB and WAR. One of the more intriguing players on the A’s roster and, if he’s traded, could command quite the king’s ransom.
1B: Jose Abreu, White Sox: Miguel Cabrera, right? Wrong. He’s on the DL (which makes it a little easier to fill in this whole roster, actually. You’ll understand why.) This year, the starting spot goes back to White Sox first basemen Jose Abreu. The team leader in most offensive categories and still a huge power threat over at first.
2B: Jason Kipnis, Indians: Not as easy of a selection as you’d think, keeping in mind the need for a player from each team, but I can’t say no to the Indians’ Jason Kipnis. Valuable on defense (.6 DWAR) and offense (AL second basemen leader in AVG, doubles, hits, triples, walks, and a very impressive 4.7 WAR) it would be a crime to not have him on this list.
3B: Josh Donaldson, Blue Jays: It won’t be the incumbent Adrian Beltre this year on the roster but a new-comer, and a runner up from last year, Josh Donaldson of the Blue Jays. Leads AL third basemen in Runs, Hits, Doubles (tied), HRs, RBIs, and is in the top three in walks and AVG. A bright light on what is a bit of a dim Blue Jays team.
SS: Xander Bogaerts, Red Sox: Leads AL shortstops in hits, doubles, RBIs, and WAR, he’s been the brightest part of a dreary Red Sox 2015 team.
LF: Brett Gardner, Yankees: He the AL LF leader in AVG, SB, and OBP and is becoming a perfect table setter for the Yankees. Not much home run power, but plenty of extra base hits (22 doubles, 3 triples, 10 HRs).
CF: Mike Trout, Angels: The only player to make it onto the roster four years in a row (and four times out of the eight that I have done this is also a record) and he’s still deserving of this slot. He leads AL CF in hits, runs, HRs, RBIs, BB, and WAR. He is third in doubles and one SB away from double digits. What a great player, year in and year out.
RF: J. D. Martinez, Tigers: Nelson Cruz doesn’t qualify but Martinez fills in quite well in this slot. 25 HRs, 59 RBIs, 16 doubles, 3.2 WAR. What a find and chance the Tigers took on the ex-Astro’s player (DFA’d and signed to a minor league deal).
DH: Prince Fielder, Rangers: A huge comeback season after the loss of a season with his neck injury last year. While he isn’t mashing quite as much as some envisioned upon his move to Arlington, 114 hits is a lot. In fact, it’s the most in the AL.
SP: Dallas Keuchel, Astros: A star who has really erupted this season to an AL lead in innings pitched, WAR, a tie in wins, is second in ERA and third in WHIP. You can’t ask for much more from a pitcher who is leading a staff of a division leader.
SP: Chris Archer, Rays: A pitcher who wasn’t supposed to lead a staff has exploded to the top due to a decimated pitching staff on the Rays. Third in the AL in strikeouts, fourth in WHIP, and tied for the most starts this season.
SP: Felix Hernandez, Mariners: A three-peat for this pitcher on my roster, he’s still performing at a high clip to the tune of a 2.84 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 11 wins, and 112 strikeouts.
RP: Wade Davis, Royals: He has allowed two runs, earned, in 39 IP. Has allowed 34 base runners (22 hits, 12 walks) but has struck out 44 players. 12 holds, nine saves, and huge success this season from the bullpen in any role.
RP: Glen Perkins, Twins: The AL leader in saves (28) is one major reason for why the Twins are having the success that they are this season. Five earned runs allowed in 37.1 IP, 31 base runners allowed and 36 strikeouts. He and Davis are what teams want out of every relief pitcher.
Bench: Manny Machado, Orioles: A solid hitter and a solid defender. He adds some defensive flexibility to the infield and some big pop off the bench. He’s a player who is deserving of this team, (101 hits, 19 home runs, 4.8 WAR) and the Orioles representative member.
Now for the NL:
C: Nick Hundley, Rockies: What about Buster Posey? Hundley is playing a level close to that of Posey and the Giants have production coming from other positions as well (and an injury kind of forced some changes. Keep reading, you’ll see). Second best AVG among NL catchers (.309) and a 31.8 caught stealing % is a strong place to start for this position.
1B: Paul Goldschmidt, Diamondbacks: Easy selection. Leads all NL first basemen in AVG, HRs, RBIs, stolen bases, runs, hits, walks, OBP, and has a whopping 5.6 WAR. A total of 5.9 Wins Above Replacement when you factor in his .3 D-WAR for his work on defense. Man, imagine what this guy could do for a team like the Pirates, Cardinals, or any team that is playoff caliber.
2B: Joe Panik, Giants: Man, I had Dee Gordon of Miami in this slot all ready to go, but then he got himself injured. That’s why I waited till Monday to release this. Panik is just as good, though. 2.9 WAR is tied with Gordon and Panik has the most runs scored compared to all other NL second basemen. And he’s no slouch on defense; two errors in 384 chances, 716 innings played and a 99.5 fielding %.
3B: Todd Frazier, Reds: This slot has many qualified candidates, but Frazier is the all-around best when it comes to third basemen in the NL. Leads NL third basemen in HRs, doubles, runs, tied for first in hits, and has the second best WAR. He also hits for average as well as power (.284 with a .337 OBP).
SS: Jhonny Peralta, Cardinals: I wanted to save St. Louis’s slot for Wacha, but after Peralta and Tulo, there is a huge drop off when it comes to NL shortstops. Peralta is a stalwart at the position this season as he is second to all NL shortstops in at-bats and innings played. He brings power (13 HRs, 20 doubles) and average (100 hits leads all NL shortstops) as well as defense (only three errors committed so far) to a position that has a dearth in premium talent right now.
LF: Starling Marte, Pirates: This position was tricky, trying to fulfill the innings requirement. But Marte fits the bill and brings the best overall game to this position. His speed (16 stolen bases), power (13 home runs), and ability to hit the ball for average and in the clutch (87 hits, .279 AVG, and 49 RBIs) go along with his defense that has a perfect fielding percentage gives him the slot.
CF: Cameron Maybin, Braves: Almost an after-thought in the Kimbrel deal, Maybin has thrived in Atlanta. A .289 AVG to go along with an overall ability to get on base and hit for some power might have the Padres wishing they had kept him instead of going with their “let’s-throw-a-lot-of-new-guys-against-the-wall-and-hope-it-works” approach to the outfield this year. His defense is rough, a -1.4 DWAR, but his 2.64 range factor is third highest to all NL center fielders.
RF: Bryce Harper, Nationals: A mid-season favorite for NL MVP, he’s tearing the cover off the ball. 26 HRs, 61 RBIs, 63 walks, 21 doubles, 59 runs, and a 6.2 WAR all lead NL right fielders and his AVG, doubles, runs, and WAR all lead the majors.
SP: Zack Greinke, Dodgers: Choosing Greinke over Kershaw because Greinke has the better WHIP, less runs allowed by more than half, and has a WAR more than double than what Kershaw has. Not saying that Kershaw is ad, just that Greinke is better this season.
SP: Jacob DeGrom, Mets: He’s taken the league by storm since coming into the majors. A 0.92 WHIP, 112/21 (5.3 Ks per walk) K/BB ratio, and if you add his hits allowed plus earned runs (84 and 27) it is still less than his strikeout total (111 to 112). He’s taken command of this young Mets pitching staff.
SP: Jake Arrieta, Cubs: Maybe he should be making the Jon Lester money on this team and not Jon Lester. Arrieta has a .99 WHIP, 123 Ks, and a 2.66 ERA, all better numbers than Lester.
RP: A.J. Ramos, Marlins: A bright spot on an underwhelming Miami pitching staff, he’s thrown 40.2 innings allowing 29 base runners and only five runs compared to 50 Ks. His ability to close (14 saves) and set-up (4 holds) could lead him to being a very attractive trade target this season.
RP: Francisco Rodriguez, Brewers: Has managed to grab 19 saves on a poor Milwaukee team but also has allowed only 28 base runners in 32 innings. The “K” of his old nickname “K-Rod” isn’t quite there this season, 37 strikeouts (middle of the pack when it comes to NL relief pitchers) but he’s having a successful season none the less.
OF Bench: Ben Revere: He doesn’t have enough innings to qualify at one position, but has enough innings to make the roster as he’s played all three outfield slots for the Phillies. He’s a great defensive replacement, a great guy to put on the base-paths if you need speed, or a great rally starter as a pinch hitter. He has a .297 AVG this season with 21 stolen bases and a .337 OBP.
INF Bench: Yangervis Solarte, Padres: I admit it; I’m reaching here on this selection but the Padres need a rep and there really isn’t much to be happy about for that San Diego squad. But Solarte brings defensive versatility and has turned a positive WAR on offense both this season and last. But yeah, it’s a stretch.
Lineups:
AL: NL:
Brett Gardner Joe Panik
Jason Kipnis Starling Marte
Mike Trout Paul Goldschmidt
Josh Donaldson Bryce Harper
Xander Bogaerts Todd Frazier
J. D. Martinez Nick Hundley
Stephen Vogt Jhonny Peralta
Jose Abreu Cameron Maybin
Pitchers slot. The ASG is in Cincinnati this year so the game gets played by NL rules and NL has home field.
Note: Only five players on my roster are repeats, three of them are on it for their third time, and Trout is my only 4-timer. I think that much turnover is great for the game of baseball as a whole.
Results as simulated on MLB The Show 15 in a best of 3 series with rosters updated:
Game One NL 5-1. Greinke threw a complete game (run was unearned, error on Maybin) and the offensive MVP was Goldschmidt with a 2-3 game, 3 RBIs, HR, and a walk. Harper also hit a HR. Overall, the NL hit Keuchel often with 11 total hits in his 7 IP.
Game Two: AL 4-1. Archer allowed one run (Frazier HR) and three hits in 7 IP and Perkins got the save. DeGrom only allowed two earned runs in 7 IP but an error by Peralta added two more in the 7th. Vogt had a two run HR and the two runs scored after a 2-out ball was hit to Peralta who booted it, allowing Donaldson and Trout to be safe and Bogaerts had a two-run double.
Game Three: NL 3-2 in 10. Both pitchers threw 8 innings of two run ball, but Perkins got hit in the 10th. With one out, Revere came up to bat and singled, stole second, and, with two outs, was hit in by Marte after Panik struck out. Two runs in the first came from a two run HR by Goldschmidt for the NL and the AL had two solo shots (Trout and Martinez) in the second and seventh respectively.
Series MVP: Goldschmidt (6-10, three walks, 2 home runs, 5 RBIs)
Series LVP: Abreu (0-11)
Player who never got to do anything: Solarte
All-Star Voting System: Broken, Flawed, or Fine?
The poll numbers came out for the AL All-Star starters and the Royals still hold a monopoly over the league. The only non-Royals being voted in as starters right now are Miguel Cabrera and Mike Trout. People have been calling foul over this and exclaiming that the system is broken; some even going as far as saying that the MLB All-Star Game and the voting system is a joke. Looking at you, Ron Cook of the Pittsburgh Post Gazette: http://www.post-gazette.com/sports/ron-cook/2015/06/19/Ron-Cook-Voting-system-for-baseball-s-All-Star-Game-stinks/stories/201506190143
I can’t tell you how vehemently I disagree with those who think the voting system is a farce. I’ll admit it isn’t perfect, but anything that involves voting rarely is. And I’ll say the same thing I say to people who like to complain about politicians. Don’t like the results? Get out there and vote then.
I don’t blame the system for the issues with the Royals having Omar Infante leading all AL second basemen; I blame the people who aren’t out voting. I blame the people more concerned with complaining about the system than trying to vote for a better player. And, because of all of this, some players who deserve their current position leads like Mike Moustakas, Kendrys Morlaes, and Salvador Perez, the AL leading vote getter, are getting some undeserved heat and anger.
Yes, the Royals have some players who don’t deserve to start or be in the game and have some others that you can have an argument about but aren’t one of the top at their position. Every team has those. But if the system was so flawed, if there are so many issues with the way the voting goes, why is it the Royals that are benefiting the most from this? The Royals are 10th of the 30 MLB teams in merchandise sales so far this season and are considered a small market team. So why, then, aren’t cities like New York (both teams are second in their division), LA (Dodgers lead their division, Angels are 3rd) or other notoriously large market cities like Boston or St. Louis then getting the benefit of a broken system and destroying other teams in the polls. And why hasn’t this happened before?
The team with the most starters in an All-Star Game within the last five seasons is the Yankees in 2011 when they sent Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Robinson Cano, and Curtis Granderson all were voted in as starters. And this was a good Yankees team at the time; that season and the season prior the Yankees made it to the ALCS and had top performances that season from the four players who went to the ASG. Honestly, the least deserving of the bunch was probably Jeter as he was batting .270 with only 3 HRs and went more on his name than anything. Yet there wasn’t as much clamoring about it as there is now. Why? Royals are a small market team. I guess the implication is that if a small market team can usurp large market teams can only happen through the fault of the system or the small market team, but never the large market team?
I’m not saying this wouldn’t be an issue if it were a large market team, say the Dodgers, had a monopoly on the voting the way that the Royals seem to have right now. I just think it would be a little less surprising. People would be upset, just not as much. People would say “well, LA is a big city; they have a lot of people who go vote.” It just doesn’t seem to be a thought to people that a city that is ranked 37th in US Population (topped by 16 cities with a MLB team) and the team that is 15th in payroll for 2015 and ranked as the MLB’s 19th team in ESPN’s Ultimate Team Standings, that the Royals fans are simply doing a better job than other fans.
Will it last? I doubt it. Some fans are like me in that I wait until the beginning of July to compose and vote on my All-Star ballot. Other teams, cities, and players are starting to campaign, hard, for their own causes. In fact, this controversy could be a boost for the All-Star Game. Nothing brings attention like controversy and a majority of people being angry about something that has never been an issue before (see: DeflateGate).
However, if I had the ability, I would make a few changes to the All-Star Voting process. ESPN’s Tom Verducci makes an interesting idea about having an All-Star Election night (read: http://www.si.com/mlb/2015/06/23/all-star-game-voting-kansas-city-royals) but I wouldn’t go that far. Baseball isn’t a one-time sport. You play your opponents in two, three, or four games in a row. The All-Star game shouldn’t be sent down to an event that only happens once. Also, limiting the voting to one night takes the fun and creativity from the players and teams. I enjoy watching the ads and the campaigning done. Shows that players take it seriously and it does bring out some really interesting stuff.
I would, however, change the date of the opening of the votes. It starts far too early. May isn’t a good gauge of how well players are doing. July is. Open the ballots on the first of July and let people have a better idea of who they want to vote for. It will drive down total vote numbers, sure, but it’ll eliminate the “I’m going to vote for Player A because he’s hitting .400 through the first week of May!” votes. Some people may never even change their ballots after making their first one which, again, could’ve been back in May.
Also, pushing the date back allows for rookies who get mid-season call ups to get more attention and prevents some players from even being on the ballot. Some players, come June and July, aren’t even on the team anymore let alone the starter at that position. If you put in the current starter at a position (take, for instance, the ballot has Rougned Odor as the Rangers 2nd baseman and he’s been back and forth from AAA this season and the Rangers currently have Adam Rosales starting at 2nd) or just eliminate the player from the ballot (example: Pirates SS Jordy Mercer is currently hitting .215 and has no hope of being on the All-Star Game) it will remove some of the frivolous votes, odd selections, and other issues that people are complaining of now.
However, until any changes what-so-ever are made, the best way to combat the Royals roster dominance is to vote. As Royals manager Ned Yost said “If you don’t like it, vote!”
Baseball Predictions
Again, I apologize to my readers for not doing my annual MLB preview series. However, I couldn’t go without letting my predictions go down on paper for this upcoming MLB season. Starting with my playoff teams:
NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Pirates
NL West: Dodgers
Wildcard: Marlins and Cardinals
AL East: Orioles
AL Central: White Sox
AL West: Mariners
Wildcard: Blue Jays and Tigers
DS: Pirates over Nationals, Marlins over Dodgers
White Sox over Orioles, Blue Jays over Mariners
CS: Pirates over Marlins
White Sox over Blue Jays
WS: Pirates over White Sox
There is a lot of hype on the Pirates this year and I understand why, as a Pittsburgh native. Small market teams don’t have a large window of opportunity and the Pirates have been pushing the window open for years. The White Sox have turned around their franchise with some shrewd moves this offseason and have a solid roster. Both teams have the ability to be very active at the deadline should issues arise during the season and the fan base to support the team through a long run.
NL MVP: McCutchen – Yes, it’s a bit of a homer pick, but his stats haven’t declined over the past two seasons, the roster overall is better for him, and he’s well known throughout baseball.
NL CY Young: Johnny Cueto – Every year he seems to be close to getting it but either an injury or Kershaw step in the way. Cueto will still be the shining star on what could be a very poor Reds season, might even be moved to a contender come the deadline.
AL MVP: Josh Donaldson – He was a candidate last season with the A’s and now calls Toronto his home. A leader on the team that pushes the Blue Jays to playoff relevance could be exactly what he needs to win the award. Akin to McCutchen when he won his.
AL CY Young: Chris Sale – He’s an ace for Chicago and is going to have a bit of a late start to the season. However, as Kershaw showed last season, a dominate season can still win the award, even if you miss the first month. The leader of this team will lead them to a World Series appearance.
ROY: I don’ bother doing this pre-season because of mid-season call ups and expectations that don’t last. Ask me again come the All-Star break.
Overall Divisions: * denotes best record in conference, ** best record in baseball, # worst in the conference, ## worst in baseball
NL: East: Central: West:
Nationals Pirates Dodgers (**)
Marlins Cardinals Padres
Mets Cubs Giants
Braves Reds Rockies
Phillies (##) Brewers Diamondbacks
AL East: Central: West:
Orioles White Sox Mariners (*)
Blue Jays Tigers Angels
Yankees Indians Athletics
Red Sox Royals Astros
Rays Twins (#) Rangers
Deal or No Deal? Pirates Trade Deadline
Plenty of trades have happened in the MLB before the deadline, most of them involving pitchers. Some of the most notable are: the Athletics blockbuster, Street and Thatcher to the Angels, McCarthy and Capuano to the Yankees, the Tigers getting Soria and, today, Peavy to the Giants.
Some of those have involved less of a return than others. The Tigers, Padres, Athletics, and Giants all gave up some top players to get their players while the Yankees and Royals didn’t give up a lot of talent, but also didn’t get back a top-tier player.
Which leads me to the Pirates. They were recently mentioned by Jim Callis of MLB.com as the best team among contenders to make a large deal, saying the the Pirates can’t be matched in both quantity and quality. (http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article/mlb/five-mlb-contenders-with-young-talent-to-trade?ymd=20140725&content_id=86079200)
However, just because the Pirates CAN make a deal, should they? If so, what kind of deal will be made?
No one expects the Pirates to make a large blockbuster like the As did, and Huntington has all but said not to expect something large, so that trade won’t be looked at from the Pirates perceptive.
But the price for starters and relievers seems to be getting higher instead of lower as the deadline gets closer and teams are better defined as buyers-or-sellers.
The Angels gave up two team top-5 prospects, one more who was in the top-20, and a fourth player who was having an alright season, to get closer Huston Street who has a year of control after this season. Street is pitching with a 1 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 26 saves and 1 blown save, 4.75 K/BB ratio, and three HRs, four ERs, and 20 hits in 36 IP. While the Angels system is weaker than the Pirates, it still seems like a steep price to pay.
Translated into Pirates terms, it probably would’ve cost Hanson, Kingham or Glasnow, and one or two other fringe prospects like McPherson or Holmes. Still seems like a large cost for the Pirates.
Then the Giants traded for Jake Peavy who is pitching to the tune of a 4.72 ERA, a 1-9 record, 1.43 WHIP, 2.1 K/BB ratio, and 20 HRs, 65 ERs, and 131 hits in 124 IP. And, in order to acquire him, the Giants gave up two pitching prospects, one of them being their second ranked prospect in their system.
Again, into Pirates terms, the deal may have looked more like a move of Kingham and Oliver in order to acquire Peavy. Also, on paper, would look like an over-pay.
If the Pirates stay put, hold to their prospects, and make a bigger deal during the off-season, it might be a better route for this small market team. Also, the current team, when healthy, looks to have enough to win a wild card slot, if not the NL Central.
Overall, I don’t think that the price has dropped for any pitcher of name. After seeing the return for some of the pitchers, the Rockies, if they trade De La Rosa, the Padres, if they trade Kennedy, and the Indians, if they trade Masterson, will likely be looking for more than the pitcher is worth and, as the deadline gets closer, more and more teams will get desperate. However, cooler heads may prevail and the Pirates might be able to snag an “under-the-radar” player. If not, watch out for that off-season move I mentioned earlier.
Cats In The Bleachers 
Recent Comments